Question 1 · Hard
A cohort study in a Kerala district follows 2,000 adults who chew tobacco and 4,000 who do not for 10 years. Oral cancer develops in 40 chewers and 20 non-chewers. Among the chewers, what proportion of oral cancer is attributable to chewing tobacco?
- A25%
- B50%
- C67%
- D75%
Show answerHide answer
Answer: D · 75%
Incidence in chewers is 40/2,000 = 20 per 1,000 and in non-chewers 20/4,000 = 5 per 1,000, so the relative risk is 4. Attributable risk is 20 - 5 = 15 per 1,000, and attributable risk per cent is 15/20 x 100 = 75%, which equals (RR - 1)/RR. It means three-quarters of oral cancer among chewers would be prevented if they stopped chewing. Comparing raw case counts (40 against 20) ignores the different group sizes and is the commonest error.
- A: 25% is the incidence in non-chewers divided by that in chewers.
- B: 50% comes from comparing raw case counts, which ignores the group sizes.
- C: 67% is the share of all cases who chewed, not the attributable fraction.